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IB DP Geography Study Notes

B.4.4 Geopolitical Conflict and Insecurity over Oceans

Oceans, encompassing more than 70% of the Earth's surface, are pivotal in shaping global geopolitics, profoundly influencing international relations, security, and economic interests.

Strategic Significance of Oceans

The oceans' geopolitical significance is multifaceted, involving aspects such as:

  • Trade and Economics: Oceans are the lifelines of global trade, with major sea routes facilitating over 90% of the world’s merchandise trade. The control over strategic maritime chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz, which is a vital passage for oil transportation, or the Malacca Strait, a key route between the Indian and Pacific Oceans, is of paramount importance. Dominance over these routes can have a significant impact on global economies.
  • Military Importance: Oceans play a crucial role in national security. Control over maritime spaces allows nations to project military power and safeguard their interests. The establishment of naval bases and the deployment of naval fleets across oceans are central to a country's defence strategy. For instance, the United States Navy's presence in the Pacific Ocean is a key element of its defence and foreign policy.
  • Natural Resources: The ocean bed is rich in resources such as oil, gas, and minerals like manganese nodules, cobalt, and rare earth elements, crucial for various industries. These resources are becoming increasingly important as terrestrial resources are depleted. The scramble for these resources often leads to geopolitical tensions, as seen in areas like the Arctic, where melting ice caps are opening new prospects for resource exploration.

International Conflict and Insecurity

The oceans are arenas of various conflicts and insecurities:

  • Territorial Disputes: Several maritime regions are hotspots for international disputes. Nations often assert overlapping territorial claims, leading to conflicts over sovereignty. For example, the dispute over the Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas) between the United Kingdom and Argentina led to a war in 1982.
  • Resource Competition: As ocean resources become more crucial, competition among nations intensifies. This competition is not just over energy resources but also over fish stocks, which are vital for food security. Overfishing and disputes over fishing rights, as seen between the European Union and Norway, are becoming increasingly common.
  • Maritime Security Challenges: Issues such as piracy, illegal fishing, human trafficking, and drug smuggling present significant security challenges. The Gulf of Aden, near Somalia, has been notorious for piracy, affecting international shipping and necessitating multinational naval patrols.

Case Study: The South China Sea Conflict

The South China Sea dispute exemplifies the complexities of ocean management and geopolitical tensions.

Background

The South China Sea, a key maritime region in Southeast Asia, is surrounded by China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan. It's a hub of international shipping and rich in natural resources.

A map showing the south china sea.

Image courtesy of Goran tek-en

Key Issues

  • Territorial Claims: The crux of the dispute lies in the overlapping territorial claims, particularly China's "Nine-Dash Line" which encompasses much of the South China Sea, conflicting with the EEZs of other littoral states.
  • Economic Interests: The region is believed to have significant untapped reserves of oil and gas, making it an attractive prospect for energy-hungry countries. Furthermore, it's a rich fishing ground, essential for the livelihood of thousands in the region.
  • Strategic Location: The South China Sea is not only a vital shipping route for global commerce but also holds strategic military importance. The region has seen an increase in militarisation, with countries fortifying islands and deploying military assets.

International Response

  • UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS): This treaty, which sets out the legal framework for marine and maritime activities, is a reference point for resolving disputes. However, interpretations of UNCLOS vary among the disputing parties.
  • International Arbitration: The 2016 ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague, which found China's expansive claims to be without legal basis, marked a significant moment in the dispute. However, China's rejection of the ruling has led to continued tensions.

Challenges

  • National Sovereignty vs International Law: Balancing national sovereignty claims with adherence to international legal frameworks, such as UNCLOS, is a persistent challenge.
  • Regional Stability: The South China Sea dispute has far-reaching implications for regional stability in Southeast Asia and beyond, with the potential for military escalation.

Implications

  • Diplomatic Relations: The dispute has strained relations between China and its neighbours and has drawn in external powers like the United States, which has interests in maintaining freedom of navigation.
  • Environmental Concerns: Increased militarisation and resource exploitation in the region pose threats to the marine environment, including coral reefs and fish populations.
  • Global Governance: The conflict underscores the challenges of managing shared ocean resources and territorial disputes under the current international governance framework.

In summary, the strategic significance of oceans is a central theme in global geopolitics, with areas like the South China Sea epitomising the complex interplay of territorial claims, resource competition, and strategic interests. For students of IB Geography, understanding these dynamics offers vital insights into contemporary geopolitical challenges, the intricacies of international law, and the delicate balance between national interests and collective global governance.

FAQ

The United Nations plays a crucial role in resolving oceanic territorial disputes through its legal framework, primarily the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). UNCLOS provides a comprehensive set of guidelines governing the rights and responsibilities of nations in their use of the world's oceans, including maritime limits and navigation rights. It facilitates conflict resolution by providing a legal basis for claims and dispute settlement mechanisms, such as the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea. However, the effectiveness of the UN in resolving disputes depends on the willingness of the conflicting parties to adhere to international law and engage in diplomatic negotiations.

Maritime conflicts can significantly disrupt global trade and shipping routes. Conflicts in key maritime areas, such as the South China Sea or the Strait of Hormuz, can lead to blockades, increased security threats like piracy, and heightened political risks. Such disruptions can result in rerouting of shipping, which increases travel distances and time, leading to higher costs for shipping companies and, subsequently, for global trade. Moreover, conflicts can create uncertainty in international markets, affecting commodity prices, especially oil. The global nature of shipping and trade means that such conflicts can have a ripple effect, impacting economies worldwide, not just those directly involved in the conflict.

Oceanic geopolitical conflicts often have significant environmental implications. Increased militarisation in disputed maritime regions can lead to habitat destruction and pollution. For instance, construction on disputed islands, such as in the South China Sea, can damage coral reefs and disrupt marine ecosystems. Additionally, conflicts can hinder environmental protection efforts, as countries focus on strategic interests over environmental concerns. Resource exploitation, such as overfishing and unregulated oil drilling, becomes more prevalent, further harming marine environments. These conflicts also impede collaborative efforts for ocean conservation, as diplomatic tensions overshadow the need for joint management of shared marine resources.

Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) significantly impact oceanic territorial disputes. An EEZ extends 200 nautical miles from a country's coastline, within which a state has rights to explore and use marine resources, including energy production from water and wind. Disputes arise when countries' EEZs overlap, especially in semi-enclosed seas like the South China Sea, leading to conflicting claims over resources and maritime activities. These disputes are often complex, intertwining legal, economic, and national security interests. The resolution of such disputes requires careful negotiation and often involves international legal frameworks like the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which defines EEZ boundaries and rights.

Several strategies are employed to mitigate and manage international maritime conflicts:

  1. Diplomatic Negotiations: Diplomatic talks are the primary method to resolve disputes peacefully. Countries engage in dialogue to negotiate boundaries, access to resources, and other issues.
  2. Legal Arbitration and Adjudication: International courts, like the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, offer a platform for legal resolution based on international law, particularly UNCLOS.
  3. Confidence-Building Measures: These include joint military exercises, shared surveillance, and maritime communication protocols to reduce tensions and misunderstandings.
  4. Regional Cooperative Agreements: Agreements like the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea aim to establish guidelines for behaviour and promote cooperation among littoral states.
  5. Involvement of International Organizations: Bodies like ASEAN and the UN facilitate discussions and provide frameworks for conflict resolution.

Practice Questions

Explain the significance of strategic maritime chokepoints in global geopolitics.

Strategic maritime chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz or the Malacca Strait, are crucial in global geopolitics due to their control over significant sea trade routes. These chokepoints are vital for the transportation of essential commodities, including oil and gas. Control or influence over these areas can grant a country substantial economic and strategic power. For instance, the Strait of Hormuz is a pivotal passage for oil transport from the Middle East, making it a focal point for geopolitical interests. Consequently, these chokepoints become centres of international attention, potentially leading to conflicts or diplomatic negotiations to ensure unhindered passage.

Strategic maritime chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz or the Malacca Strait, are crucial in global geopolitics due to their control over significant sea trade routes. These chokepoints are vital for the transportation of essential commodities, including oil and gas. Control or influence over these areas can grant a country substantial economic and strategic power. For instance, the Strait of Hormuz is a pivotal passage for oil transport from the Middle East, making it a focal point for geopolitical interests. Consequently, these chokepoints become centres of international attention, potentially leading to conflicts or diplomatic negotiations to ensure unhindered passage.

Resolving territorial disputes in the South China Sea presents multiple challenges. Firstly, there are overlapping sovereignty claims, especially China's 'Nine-Dash Line', which conflicts with the Exclusive Economic Zones of other nations. These claims are deeply rooted in national identities and historical contexts, complicating diplomatic resolution. Secondly, the region's rich natural resources, including oil and fisheries, make it economically significant, intensifying the stakes involved. Additionally, differing interpretations of international laws, like UNCLOS, and China's rejection of the 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration ruling, highlight the challenge of aligning national interests with international legal frameworks. Lastly, the involvement of external powers, like the USA, adds layers of complexity to the dispute, turning it into a broader geopolitical issue.

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