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CIE A-Level History Study Notes

2.4.2 The Great Crash of 1929

The Great Crash of 1929 remains a defining moment in economic history, highlighting the vulnerability of financial markets and its profound impact on global economies and societies. This period of significant stock market decline and its consequences profoundly influenced economic policy and theory.

Key Events and Features of the Stock Market Crash

Prelude to the Crash

  • The 1920s stock market boom was fueled by post-World War I optimism and rapid industrialisation. This period saw unprecedented growth in stock market investments.
  • The practice of buying on margin became widespread. Investors could purchase stocks for only a part of their price, borrowing the remainder. This method magnified both profits and risks, leading to inflated stock prices.

The Climactic Week

  • The downturn began on 24 October 1929 (Black Thursday), with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeting. Panic selling ensued, but a brief stabilisation occurred due to bankers buying large blocks of stock.
  • 29 October 1929 (Black Tuesday) saw a more devastating crash. Over 16 million shares were traded, a record that stood for nearly 40 years. Prices collapsed, with no buyers available for many stocks.

Immediate Aftermath

  • The market lost about 30% of its value in a week, erasing significant amounts of wealth.
  • The crash led to widespread panic and a rush to liquidate holdings, exacerbating the decline.

Hoover Administration's Response to the Crash

Initial Reactions

  • President Herbert Hoover initially projected optimism, underestimating the crash's gravity. He believed the economy would recover naturally.
  • Hoover urged businesses to maintain wages and employment, a move meant to sustain purchasing power and demand.

Policy Interventions

  • The Hoover administration lowered taxes and increased public works spending to stimulate the economy.
  • However, these measures lacked the scale needed to counteract the economic downturn effectively, leading to criticism of Hoover's leadership.

Public Perception and Criticism

  • Hoover's perceived inaction and his reluctance to involve the federal government in direct economic relief led to growing public discontent.
  • His policies were seen as too conservative, failing to address the severity of the economic crisis.

Collapse of Banking and Financial Systems

Wave of Bank Failures

  • Many banks had invested in the stock market or given loans for stock purchases, tying their fates to the market’s health.
  • When the market crashed, banks faced huge losses, and many became insolvent.

Public Panic and Bank Runs

  • The crash severely undermined public confidence in the banking system, leading to widespread bank runs.
  • As people rushed to withdraw their savings, banks faced liquidity crises, causing further closures and deepening the economic crisis.

Economic Spiral

  • The collapse of banks restricted access to credit and capital, crucial for business operations, leading to widespread business failures and soaring unemployment rates.
  • The banking crisis was a significant factor in transitioning from a stock market crash to a full-blown depression.

Triggers and Contributing Factors

  • The crash was precipitated by over-speculation and a lack of regulatory oversight in the financial markets.
  • Other contributing factors included the agricultural sector’s distress due to overproduction and falling prices, and global economic issues like war debts and trade imbalances.

Long-term Implications and Lessons

Changes in Economic Theory

  • The crash and the ensuing Great Depression led to significant re-evaluation of economic theories, particularly regarding market self-regulation and the role of government in the economy.
  • It prompted the development of Keynesian economics, advocating for increased government spending and intervention during economic downturns.

Regulatory Reforms

  • In response to the crash, the U.S. government implemented substantial financial reforms, including the Glass-Steagall Act and the creation of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to regulate the stock market and protect investors.
  • These reforms aimed to prevent the recurrence of such a financial catastrophe by promoting transparency and accountability in the financial sector.

The Great Crash of 1929 marked a watershed moment in the history of financial markets. It brought to light the intricacies and vulnerabilities of the financial system, prompting a re-evaluation of economic policies and theories. The lessons learned from this period continue to inform our understanding of market dynamics and the importance of regulatory frameworks in maintaining financial stability.

FAQ

The stock market crash had a devastating impact on the American banking system. Banks had heavily invested in the stock market or loaned money to stock buyers, and the crash eroded their asset values. Additionally, the public lost confidence in the banking system, leading to widespread bank runs, where depositors rushed to withdraw their funds. This sudden withdrawal of funds caused many banks to fail due to a lack of liquidity. By 1933, over 9,000 banks had failed. The banking crisis crippled the American economy, severely restricting access to credit, which was vital for business operations and consumer spending.

The stock market crash of 1929 had a significant impact on economic policy in the United States, leading to a shift towards more active government intervention in the economy. The failure of traditional laissez-faire policies to prevent or mitigate the crash and the ensuing Great Depression prompted the government to adopt a more hands-on approach. This shift was epitomised by Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal, which included measures like the creation of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for stock market regulation, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to insure bank deposits, and various programs to provide employment and stimulate economic growth. These policies represented a fundamental change in the role of the federal government in economic affairs.

The Federal Reserve's policies played a significant role in the lead-up to the 1929 crash. In the late 1920s, the Fed lowered interest rates, encouraging borrowing and fuelling stock market speculation. However, concerned about the overheated stock market and speculative bubble, the Fed reversed its stance, increasing interest rates in 1928 and 1929. This move was intended to curb stock market speculation but led to a decrease in available credit and liquidity. This tightening of monetary policy made it more expensive to maintain stocks bought on margin, contributing to the market's vulnerability and precipitating the crash.

The 1929 stock market crash had profound international effects, contributing to the onset of the Great Depression worldwide. European economies, already weakened by World War I and reliant on American loans and investments, were hit hard as the US retracted its financial support to stabilise its own economy. This led to a decline in European exports to the US, exacerbating their economic struggles. Countries dependent on exporting primary products suffered as global commodity prices plummeted. The crash also led to a rise in protectionism, as nations imposed trade barriers to protect domestic industries, further reducing international trade and deepening the global economic crisis.

Consumer behaviour in the 1920s played a crucial role in setting the stage for the stock market crash. The decade saw a significant rise in consumer spending and the culture of consumerism, partly driven by the proliferation of new products like automobiles and household appliances. The widespread use of installment buying and credit purchases allowed more people to buy these goods, but it also created a culture of debt and overextension. Additionally, the public's engagement in stock market speculation, often without a thorough understanding of the risks involved, contributed to an unsustainable economic bubble that burst with the crash.

Practice Questions

Analyse the role of buying on margin in contributing to the severity of the 1929 stock market crash.

Buying on margin significantly contributed to the 1929 crash by inflating stock prices and increasing market volatility. Investors purchased shares with a small down payment, borrowing the remainder. This leverage meant that even minor price drops could wipe out their investments, leading to forced sales and further price declines. The widespread use of margin buying created a speculative bubble, magnifying the market's vulnerability to shocks. When the crash occurred, the high levels of debt and inflated prices resulted in a rapid and steep decline, exacerbating the market's instability and the subsequent economic fallout.

Evaluate the effectiveness of the Hoover administration's response to the Great Crash of 1929.

The Hoover administration's response to the 1929 crash was largely ineffective, marked by underestimation of the crisis and inadequate measures. Hoover's initial approach was based on optimism and self-reliance, failing to recognise the crash's severity. His advocacy for businesses to maintain wages and employment was well-intentioned but insufficient to counteract the economic downturn. The tax cuts and public works spending introduced were too limited to stimulate significant recovery. This lack of decisive and substantial intervention allowed the economic situation to deteriorate, leading to the Great Depression. Hoover's policies were seen as too conservative and reactive, contributing to his political unpopularity.

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