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IB DP History Study Notes

10.3.2 External Rivalries

Understanding the dynamics of external rivalries offers key insights into the ever-evolving nature of international relations, as nations vie for power, resources, and influence.

Major External Rivalries and Their Origins

Anglo-French Rivalry (18th-20th Century)

  • Origins
    • Territorial disputes in North America, particularly during the Seven Years' War.
    • Rival colonial ambitions in Africa and Asia.
    • Competing naval strengths.
  • Implications
    • Numerous wars, including the Napoleonic Wars, which reshaped the European continent.
    • Diplomatic tensions, with alternating periods of hostility and detente.
    • The eventual signing of the Entente Cordiale, signalling a new era of cooperation.

US-Soviet Cold War (1947-1991)

  • Origins
    • Ideological divide: Capitalist West vs. Communist East.
    • Post-WWII geopolitical reshuffle, with both emerging as superpowers.
    • Distrust due to wartime negotiations and atomic monopoly.
  • Implications
    • Proxy wars in various regions, including Korea, Vietnam, and Afghanistan.
    • The Cuban Missile Crisis, bringing the world to the brink of nuclear war.
    • Global bifurcation with NATO and the Warsaw Pact representing opposing sides.

Sino-Indian Rivalry (20th Century onwards)

  • Origins
    • Border disputes, particularly over Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh.
    • Competing influences in the Asian region.
    • Historical antecedents, such as Tibet's status.
  • Implications
    • Military confrontations, including the 1962 war.
    • Diplomatic tensions influencing South Asian geopolitics.
    • Regional realignments, with nations choosing sides or navigating a neutral path.

Diplomatic Efforts to Manage or Escalate Rivalries

Alliances and Treaties

  • Entente Cordiale (1904)
    • A landmark agreement marking the end of centuries-old Anglo-French animosity.
    • Both powers agreed to recognise each other's colonial dominions, setting the stage for future cooperation.
  • NATO and Warsaw Pact
    • NATO, established in 1949, sought to counter the Soviet threat in Europe.
    • The Warsaw Pact (1955) was the Eastern Bloc's response, consolidating Soviet influence over Eastern Europe.
  • Sino-Soviet Split
    • Initially allies, by the 1960s, ideological and territorial disputes drove a wedge between Communist China and the USSR.
    • This divide reshuffled global alignments, with the US seeking rapprochement with China.

Espionage

  • Cold War Espionage
    • Espionage became a primary tool, with the CIA and KGB involved in covert operations globally.
    • The espionage race led to several high-profile cases, such as the U2 spy plane incident.
  • Industrial Espionage
    • Nations sought technological advantages by stealing secrets.
    • Cases, such as those involving nuclear technology, had profound implications for global security.

Military Confrontations

Wars

  • Anglo-French Wars
    • The Seven Years' War (1756-1763), which spanned continents.
    • Napoleonic Wars (1803-1815), reshaping the European geopolitical landscape.
  • Korean War (1950-1953)
    • A significant proxy conflict, pitting the US-led UN forces against China/Soviet-backed North Koreans.
    • The war established the Korean Demilitarized Zone, a lingering symbol of Cold War tensions.

Skirmishes

  • Sino-Indian Border Conflicts
    • Apart from the 1962 war, several skirmishes, like the 2020 Galwan Valley clash, underscored the volatile nature of this border.
  • Bay of Pigs Invasion (1961)
    • A botched invasion by US-backed Cuban exiles to overthrow Fidel Castro.
    • The event further soured US-Cuba relations, setting the stage for the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Arms Races

  • Nuclear Arms Race
    • Stemming from the US atomic monopoly, which was broken by the USSR's successful nuclear test in 1949.
    • Led to a dangerous game of one-upmanship, culminating in the MAD doctrine.
  • Naval Arms Race (early 20th century)
    • Primarily between Britain and Germany, this competition saw massive investments in dreadnoughts, altering naval warfare dynamics.

Long-term Impacts of Rivalries

National Security

  • Increased Defence Spending
    • Nations prioritised defence budgets, often at the expense of social welfare.
    • Espionage networks expanded, with intelligence agencies playing pivotal roles.
  • Technological Advancements
    • Necessity drove innovations, from missile technology to cyber warfare.
    • The space race, primarily between the US and USSR, led to advancements like satellite technology.

Economic Development

  • Economic Sanctions
    • Tools to exert pressure, such as the US sanctions on Cuba or the global sanctions on apartheid South Africa.
    • Such sanctions, while aimed at compelling behavioural changes, often hurt civilian populations.
  • Resource Competition
    • From the Scramble for Africa to the modern tussle for rare earth minerals, resource competition has often been at the heart of rivalries.
    • Nations strategised to either control or deny rivals access to critical resources.

International Diplomacy

  • Formation of Blocs
    • Rivalries led to the creation of distinct blocs, often with major powers as the nucleus.
    • These blocs influenced global decision-making, especially in bodies like the UN.
  • Shifts in Global Power Dynamics
    • Major rivalries, especially those involving superpowers, shifted the balance of power.
    • The end of the Cold War, for instance, marked the beginning of the US-led unipolar era.
  • Diplomatic Tensions
    • Long-standing rivalries often obstructed collaboration on global challenges like climate change or nuclear disarmament.
    • Nations engaged in trust-building measures, but historical animosities often resurfaced.

By delving into these rivalries, students gain a deeper understanding of the forces shaping international dynamics, from past events to current geopolitical realignments.

FAQ

The Warsaw Pact, formally established in 1955, was the Eastern Bloc's military response to NATO. Comprising the Soviet Union and seven of its satellite states in Eastern Europe, the alliance was more than just a mutual defence pact. It served multiple purposes: cementing Soviet dominance over Eastern Europe, providing a counterbalance to NATO's influence, and showcasing unity in the face of "capitalist encroachment." The Warsaw Pact also facilitated the Soviets' interventions in member states, such as the crushing of uprisings in Hungary (1956) and Czechoslovakia (1968). Thus, it was emblematic of the broader Cold War division and competition in Europe.

Post-Cold War, the Sino-Indian rivalry has seen complexities beyond just territorial disputes. While border tensions, such as those in Doklam and Galwan Valley, persist, new dimensions have emerged. Economic competition, with both nations vying for regional and global markets, is prominent. Additionally, there's a strategic competition in the Indian Ocean Region, with China's String of Pearls strategy and India's Act East policy. The Belt and Road Initiative by China and India's reservations about it further exemplify the rivalry. Diplomatic nuances, like India's increasing closeness with the US and China's with Pakistan, indicate the geopolitical recalibrations rooted in their rivalry.

The nuclear arms race between the US and the USSR, primarily during the Cold War, had profound implications for global disarmament efforts. While both superpowers stockpiled nuclear weapons, reaching alarming numbers, the fear of mutual destruction led to several arms control treaties. The Partial Test Ban Treaty (1963) prohibited atmospheric nuclear testing. More significantly, the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT) and the subsequent treaties aimed at capping the number of nuclear weapons. However, these efforts often faced hurdles, with suspicions of non-compliance. While the arms race propelled disarmament talks, genuine global disarmament remained elusive, as newer nations sought nuclear capabilities, complicating the disarmament matrix.

The Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 epitomised the precariousness of the US-Soviet Cold War rivalry. Following the failed Bay of Pigs invasion, the Soviet Union decided to place nuclear missiles in Cuba, bringing them uncomfortably close to the US mainland. For 13 days, the world teetered on the brink of nuclear war, as both superpowers grappled with escalating tensions. The crisis illuminated the hazards of miscalculation and brinkmanship in an age of nuclear weapons. While it eventually ended peacefully, with both sides making concessions, the incident served as a sobering reminder of the potential catastrophic consequences of the Cold War.

The Entente Cordiale, signed in 1904, marked a momentous shift in the historical dynamics of Anglo-French relations. For centuries, England (later Britain) and France were staunch adversaries, engaging in multiple wars and territorial disputes. Their rivalry extended to colonial ambitions in Africa and Asia. However, recognising the changing geopolitical landscape with the rise of Germany, both powers felt the need for a strategic realignment. The Entente Cordiale, thus, wasn't just an agreement on colonial territories; it symbolised the end of historic animosity and the beginning of cooperation. It would later pave the way for the Triple Entente, a counterbalance to the Central Powers in World War I.

Practice Questions

To what extent did espionage play a pivotal role in the management and escalation of the US-Soviet Cold War rivalry?

Espionage was instrumental in both escalating and managing the US-Soviet Cold War rivalry. The clandestine activities of intelligence agencies, such as the CIA and KGB, epitomised the distrust and suspicion between the two superpowers. High-profile espionage cases, like the U2 spy plane incident, heightened tensions. Conversely, espionage also provided each side with critical insights into the other's intentions and capabilities, often preventing miscalculations. For instance, covert channels allowed for backdoor diplomacy, reducing the chances of direct confrontation. Hence, while espionage exacerbated distrust, it also paradoxically contributed to the Cold War's relative stability.

How did the long-term impacts of major external rivalries shape international diplomacy in the 20th century?

The long-term impacts of major external rivalries profoundly influenced 20th-century international diplomacy. For instance, the Anglo-French rivalry, culminating in the Entente Cordiale, set the stage for European alliances during World War I. The US-Soviet Cold War rivalry led to a global bifurcation with NATO and the Warsaw Pact, influencing diplomatic alignments well beyond Europe. Moreover, the Sino-Soviet split reshaped global alignments, prompting US-China rapprochement. Such rivalries not only led to the formation of distinct blocs, often centred around superpowers, but also significantly influenced decisions in global forums like the UN. These diplomatic oscillations underscored the intricate dance of power politics throughout the century.

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