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CIE IGCSE Maths Study Notes

8.2.1 Relative Frequency

Relative frequency offers a practical approach to understanding probability, bridging theoretical maths with real-world observations. It's calculated by dividing the number of times an event occurs by the total number of trials, providing a tangible estimate for the probability of an event.

Understanding Relative Frequency

  • Definition: The ratio of the number of times an event has occurred to the total number of trials or experiments.
  • Importance: Serves as an empirical estimate of the probability of an event, grounding abstract probability concepts in observable outcomes.

Calculating Relative Frequency

Given a scenario, the relative frequency is obtained through:

Relative Frequency=Frequency of the eventTotal number of observations\text{Relative Frequency} = \frac{\text{Frequency of the event}}{\text{Total number of observations}}Relative Frequency

Image courtesy of House of Math

Worked Examples

Example 1: Dice Roll

Problem: A six-sided die is rolled 120 times, landing on number 3, 20 times.

Solution:

1. Identify Occurrences: Event = rolling a 3, occurred 20 times.

2. Total Trials: 120 rolls.

Relative Frequency=20120=16\text{Relative Frequency} = \dfrac{20}{120} = \dfrac{1}{6}

The relative frequency suggests a 16\dfrac{1}{6} chance of rolling a 3, aligning with the theoretical probability for a fair die.

Example 2: Coin Toss

Problem: A coin is tossed 200 times, yielding 97 heads.

Solution:

1. Identify Occurrences: Heads came up 97 times.

2. Total Trials: 200 tosses.

Relative Frequency=97200=0.485\text{Relative Frequency} = \dfrac{97}{200} = 0.485

This indicates a roughly 48.5% chance of getting heads, close to the expected 50%.

Example 3: Drawing Cards

Problem: From a deck of 52 cards, a card is drawn 260 times with replacement, drawing a heart 70 times.

Solution:

1. Identify Occurrences: Heart drawn 70 times.

2. Total Trials: 260 draws.

Relative Frequency=70260=7260.269\text{Relative Frequency} = \dfrac{70}{260} = \dfrac{7}{26} \approx 0.269

The relative frequency of drawing a heart is approximately 26.9%, slightly lower than the theoretical 25% (or 14\frac{1}{4}).

Real-Life Applications

  • Surveys and Studies: Relative frequency is used to analyse outcomes in surveys, such as the preference for a particular product.
  • Quality Control: In manufacturing, the relative frequency of defects can help in assessing the quality of production.

Importance of Sample Size

A larger sample size yields a relative frequency closer to the theoretical probability, demonstrating the law of large numbers.

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