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AP Macroeconomics Notes

1.6.5. Changes in Demand and Supply Affecting Equilibrium

Changes in demand and supply play a crucial role in shaping market equilibrium by affecting both price and quantity. These changes result from various economic factors influencing consumer behavior and production. Understanding these shifts is essential to analyze fluctuations in goods and services, as seen in real-world markets.

Demand Increases or Decreases

Rightward Shift: Increase in Demand

An increase in demand occurs when consumers are willing and able to purchase more of a good or service at all price levels. As a result, the demand curve shifts rightward, leading to a higher equilibrium price and higher equilibrium quantity.

Causes of an Increase in Demand

Several factors can cause an increase in demand, including:

  • Higher consumer income – If people earn more, they can afford to buy more normal goods (e.g., vacations, electronics).

  • Positive changes in consumer preferences – Trends or fads, such as increased awareness of health benefits, may lead to higher demand for organic food.

  • Increase in population or market size – More consumers in a market mean higher demand for goods and services.

  • Higher prices of substitute goods – If Pepsi becomes more expensive, consumers may switch to Coca-Cola, increasing demand for Coke.

  • Lower prices of complementary goods – If gas prices drop, demand for cars may rise because operating a vehicle becomes more affordable.

  • Expectations of future price increases – If consumers expect smartphone prices to rise next month, they may buy now, increasing current demand.

Graphical Representation

  • The demand curve shifts rightward from D1 to D2.

  • Equilibrium price increases due to higher competition for the product.

  • Equilibrium quantity rises as producers respond to increased demand.

Example

If the government provides electric vehicle (EV) tax incentives, demand for EVs rises. More consumers purchase EVs, increasing both equilibrium price and quantity.

Leftward Shift: Decrease in Demand

A decrease in demand means consumers buy less of a product at all price levels, shifting the demand curve leftward and resulting in a lower equilibrium price and quantity.

Causes of a Decrease in Demand

  • Lower consumer income – When incomes fall, people cut back on non-essential spending, reducing demand for normal goods.

  • Negative changes in consumer preferences – If new health studies reveal risks of consuming sugary drinks, demand for soda might decline.

  • Decline in population or market size – A lower number of consumers reduces market demand.

  • Lower prices of substitute goods – If train ticket prices drop significantly, demand for airline tickets may fall.

  • Higher prices of complementary goods – If gas prices rise sharply, fewer people may buy cars due to increased operational costs.

  • Expectations of future price declines – If consumers anticipate a price drop for TVs on Black Friday, they may delay purchases, reducing current demand.

Graphical Representation

  • The demand curve shifts leftward from D1 to D2.

  • Equilibrium price falls due to decreased consumer interest.

  • Equilibrium quantity decreases as fewer goods are sold.

Example

If a new health report warns against excessive red meat consumption, demand for beef decreases, leading to lower prices and fewer sales.

Supply Increases or Decreases

Rightward Shift: Increase in Supply

An increase in supply occurs when producers are willing to offer more of a good at all price levels, shifting the supply curve rightward. This leads to a lower equilibrium price and a higher equilibrium quantity.

Causes of an Increase in Supply

  • Technological advancements – Innovations improve efficiency, reducing production costs and increasing output.

  • Lower input costs – If raw materials, wages, or energy costs decrease, businesses can produce more at lower costs.

  • Increase in the number of suppliers – More firms entering a market boost overall supply.

  • Government subsidies – Financial incentives encourage production expansion.

  • Favorable weather conditions – Beneficial weather increases agricultural yields.

  • Expectations of future price declines – If producers expect prices to fall later, they may supply more now.

Graphical Representation

  • The supply curve shifts rightward from S1 to S2.

  • Equilibrium price decreases due to surplus supply.

  • Equilibrium quantity increases as more goods enter the market.

Example

New automation technology in car manufacturing lowers production costs, increasing car supply and reducing prices.

Leftward Shift: Decrease in Supply

A decrease in supply occurs when producers offer less of a good at all price levels, shifting the supply curve leftward and resulting in higher equilibrium price and lower equilibrium quantity.

Causes of a Decrease in Supply

  • Higher input costs – Rising costs of materials, wages, or energy reduce production capacity.

  • Natural disasters or poor weather – Hurricanes or droughts can disrupt production.

  • Government regulations or taxes – Increased production costs may discourage supply.

  • Decrease in the number of producers – If firms exit an industry, overall supply declines.

  • Expectations of future price increases – Producers may hold back supply if they anticipate higher prices later.

Graphical Representation

  • The supply curve shifts leftward from S1 to S2.

  • Equilibrium price rises due to scarcity.

  • Equilibrium quantity decreases as fewer goods are available.

Example

A drought reduces wheat production, leading to higher prices and lower availability of bread.

Simultaneous Changes in Demand and Supply

Sometimes, both demand and supply shift simultaneously, leading to ambiguous effects on either price or quantity.

Demand and Supply Increase

  • Equilibrium quantity increases.

  • Price effect depends on the magnitude of shifts:

    • If demand increases more than supply, price rises.

    • If supply increases more than demand, price falls.

Example

Smartphone demand rises due to new features, while production efficiency improves, increasing supply.

Demand and Supply Decrease

  • Equilibrium quantity decreases.

  • Price effect depends on the magnitude of shifts:

    • If demand decreases more than supply, price falls.

    • If supply decreases more than demand, price rises.

Example

A recession reduces car demand, while factory closures decrease car production, affecting equilibrium.

Demand Increases and Supply Decreases

  • Equilibrium price increases.

  • Quantity effect depends on shifts:

    • If demand rises more than supply falls, quantity increases.

    • If supply falls more than demand rises, quantity decreases.

Example

A hurricane disrupts oil production, while global demand for fuel rises, pushing gas prices higher.

Demand Decreases and Supply Increases

  • Equilibrium price falls.

  • Quantity effect depends on shifts:

    • If demand falls more than supply rises, quantity decreases.

    • If supply rises more than demand falls, quantity increases.

Example

New textile factories increase clothing supply, while fashion trends reduce consumer demand, lowering prices.

FAQ

When both demand and supply shift in the same direction, the equilibrium quantity always changes in that direction, but the effect on price depends on which shift is larger.

  • If demand increases more than supply, the price rises, and quantity increases.

  • If supply increases more than demand, the price falls, and quantity increases.

  • If demand decreases more than supply, the price falls, and quantity decreases.

  • If supply decreases more than demand, the price rises, and quantity decreases.

For example, if a new technology reduces smartphone production costs (increasing supply) while consumer income rises (increasing demand), smartphone prices could rise, fall, or remain unchanged depending on which shift is stronger. However, equilibrium quantity will always increase because both shifts support higher output. The larger shift determines the final price movement.

Simultaneous shifts in demand and supply can make either equilibrium price or quantity uncertain because the net effect depends on the relative magnitudes of the shifts.

  • If both demand and supply increase, quantity rises, but price is indeterminate because demand raises it while supply lowers it.

  • If both demand and supply decrease, quantity falls, but price is indeterminate because demand lowers it while supply raises it.

  • If demand increases while supply decreases, price rises, but quantity is indeterminate because demand raises it while supply lowers it.

  • If demand decreases while supply increases, price falls, but quantity is indeterminate because demand lowers it while supply raises it.

For example, if global demand for oil increases, but at the same time oil-producing nations cut supply, price will definitely rise, but the effect on quantity is uncertain because demand pushes it up while supply cuts push it down.

Government policies like price ceilings and price floors prevent markets from reaching a new equilibrium after shifts in demand and supply, leading to persistent shortages or surpluses.

  • A price ceiling (maximum legal price) below equilibrium causes shortages. If demand increases or supply decreases, the shortage worsens because price cannot rise to restore equilibrium.

  • A price floor (minimum legal price) above equilibrium causes surpluses. If supply increases or demand decreases, the surplus worsens because price cannot fall to restore equilibrium.

For example, rent controls in major cities set a price ceiling on apartments. If demand for housing rises due to population growth, but landlords cannot raise prices, a shortage of available apartments occurs. On the other hand, a minimum wage acts as a price floor in the labor market. If demand for workers falls due to automation while minimum wage remains high, a surplus of unemployed workers emerges.

Future price expectations influence both current demand and supply, leading to immediate shifts in equilibrium before the actual price change occurs.

  • If consumers expect prices to rise in the future, current demand increases as people buy now to avoid paying more later.

  • If consumers expect prices to fall in the future, current demand decreases as people delay purchases to buy at lower prices.

  • If producers expect prices to rise in the future, current supply decreases as firms withhold goods to sell later at higher prices.

  • If producers expect prices to fall in the future, current supply increases as firms rush to sell before prices drop.

For example, if investors anticipate that gold prices will rise, demand increases immediately, pushing prices up before the expected rise even happens. In contrast, if oil companies predict that crude oil prices will drop, they might increase current production, leading to an immediate supply surge and a price decrease.

External shocks like natural disasters, wars, or political instability cause rapid and unpredictable shifts in demand and supply, leading to volatile price and quantity changes.

  • Supply shocks occur when disasters destroy resources, disrupt production, or cut transportation networks. This shifts supply leftward, raising prices and lowering quantity.

  • Demand shocks occur when major economic events shift consumer or business spending. This can shift demand rightward (stimulus checks, economic booms) or leftward (financial crises, recessions).

For example, hurricanes damaging oil refineries reduce oil supply, shifting the supply curve leftward, increasing gasoline prices while lowering the quantity available. Conversely, a geopolitical conflict causing uncertainty in global markets might reduce demand for luxury goods, shifting demand leftward and lowering both price and quantity.

These shocks often cause inflation (if prices rise due to supply shortages) or deflation (if demand collapses), impacting broader economic stability.

Practice Questions

Assume that the market for electric vehicles (EVs) is initially in equilibrium. Recently, the government has introduced significant subsidies for EV manufacturers, while consumer preferences have shifted in favor of EVs due to increased environmental awareness. Using a correctly labeled graph, explain the impact of these changes on the equilibrium price and quantity of EVs.

When the government provides subsidies to EV manufacturers, production costs decrease, shifting the supply curve rightward. Simultaneously, increased consumer preference for EVs shifts the demand curve rightward. As a result, equilibrium quantity increases, but the effect on equilibrium price depends on the relative magnitude of the shifts. If demand increases more than supply, price rises; if supply increases more than demand, price falls. If both shifts are equal, price remains unchanged. A well-labeled graph should show the rightward shift of both curves, with the new equilibrium at a higher quantity and an uncertain price change depending on the relative shifts.

A new agricultural technology significantly improves crop yields, increasing the supply of wheat. At the same time, a shift in consumer preferences reduces the demand for wheat-based products. Explain the impact of these changes on the equilibrium price and quantity of wheat.

The increase in supply due to improved agricultural technology shifts the supply curve rightward, while the decrease in demand due to changing consumer preferences shifts the demand curve leftward. As a result, equilibrium price will definitely decrease, since both shifts push prices lower. However, the effect on equilibrium quantity depends on the magnitude of each shift. If supply increases more than demand decreases, equilibrium quantity rises; if demand decreases more than supply increases, equilibrium quantity falls. A correctly labeled graph should show both shifts, with price decreasing and quantity change dependent on relative shift magnitudes.

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